Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.240319 3.620044 4.031255 4.510433 5.054455 5.654023 6.366384
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.753845 3.272486 3.874223 4.627037 5.547921 6.643103 8.052209
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.405864 2.993399 3.711213 4.659055 5.887101 7.437102 9.561641
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.154827 2.782384 3.581928 4.685519 6.185192 8.174931 11.052934
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.958952 2.610375 3.470536 4.703937 6.450880 8.872427 12.546183
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.758585 2.406835 3.289278 4.596744 6.516175 9.280474 13.654412
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.618161 2.269352 3.180891 4.572899 6.685679 9.839324 15.031739
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.492582 2.139822 3.069008 4.527557 6.810000 10.331378 16.347958
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.443907 2.116589 3.107339 4.706792 7.289436 11.412403 18.733952
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.355614 2.025773 3.034986 4.704657 7.475943 12.035690 20.416153
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.269356 1.930732 2.947328 4.667836 7.597701 12.556755 21.971899
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.146462 1.769238 2.742724 4.421391 7.341372 12.401527 22.273584
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.085899 1.704667 2.691310 4.430927 7.534677 13.067620 24.222897
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.049916 1.677314 2.698369 4.540494 7.914855 14.110590 27.041910
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.002280 1.626923 2.662603 4.570842 8.152106 14.910126 29.477618
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.957971 1.578784 2.626587 4.596533 8.381063 15.714615 32.028685
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.916092 1.531748 2.588644 4.614514 8.595119 16.509298 34.664156
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.858525 1.453426 2.489721 4.509593 8.556717 16.785364 36.177181
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.817914 1.402473 2.436208 4.486252 8.678066 17.402456 38.552667
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.777407 1.349128 2.374618 4.441873 8.751170 17.922384 40.768110
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.769489 1.354685 2.422328 4.617297 9.300512 19.540773 45.909526
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.738836 1.316070 2.383950 4.615208 9.468230 20.320805 49.051607
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.706062 1.271498 2.331213 4.579171 9.557558 20.928819 51.834807